When Pandemic Spreads To Your Neck Of The Woods… by for Modern Survival Blog
One of the sites that I’m checking for 2019-ncov coronavirus updates is peakprosperity.com via Chris Martenson. His credentials qualify him in this area and he’s a sensible person. He happens to be into preparedness as well.
With that said, a few recent quotes as follows:
(if and when pandemic reaches his “neck of the woods”)
“I’m not going to be doing anything in the company of strangers. No shopping, no going to restaurants, and especially no traveling in closed up metal tubes with recirculated air (i.e. planes and trains).”
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“I won’t be alone in those behaviors. How many airline pilots, train conductors, trash collectors, and medical personnel have to call in “sick” to disrupt the entire system? Not that many.”
If you’re on the fence, so to speak, here’s my advice (regarding if and when coronavirus gets to your neck of the woods).
First,
Coronavirus is much more dangerous than the standard flu.
The flu case fatality rate is approximately 0.1% while nCoV is AT LEAST (minimum) 3% — likely much higher (probable under-reporting of data from China, coupled with fatality rates not accounting for asymptomatic period up to 14 days).
R0 (transmittance) of the flu is evidently 1.28 while nCoV is apparently, currently, in the neighborhood of 4.08. That’s HIGHLY contagious, and it could be worse than that. We just don’t know everything yet.
The “Serious Complication rate” (ICU bed requirement) for the flu is less than 1% while nCoV is ~ 20% (and likely under-reported data from China).
Second,
It’s raging in China, while just simmering elsewhere
So far, this coronavirus has not ‘caught on fire’ elsewhere than China. However, as of this post, nCoV is now confirmed in 28 countries.
Because it has not yet flared up (as in China), people here in the US (and likely elsewhere) are not real concerned, or concerned at all. It’s barely simmering here with only 11 confirmed cases (in the US) at this time.
So, what’s the big deal? What’s all the hype?
