Sally Fourth via The Burning Platform
The Fourth Turning is part of the required reading here on Slope, and it is featured on my Recommended Books page.
I have read and highlighted the book many times, and I’ve written about it on Slope on a few occasions. I have to trot it out once more, however, since I was surprised at yet another prophecy. As a recap, here is how the important Chapter 10 begins, and keep in mind, this book was published in 1997. Before Covid. Before Trump. Before 9-11. Hell, back then, Zuckerberg was a pimply 13 year old kid. So a lot has happened since then:
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Of course, the “spark” they mentioned was, in my opinion, the terrorist attacks on 9/11. Incidentally, I find it rather remarkable that they toss out the offhanded “….trivial as a Tea Party” remark when, in fact, just such a political movement would take place starting in early 2009.
On the very next page, they start to hypothesize about some events which might take place during the Fourth Turning, which they believed that the time would be roughly from 2005 to 2025 or so. Let’s look:
What’s astonishing is that they offer up these conjectures very sheepishly and even declare that “obviously” none of these things would actually happen, but they were merely offering some some ideas about the character of potential “sparks” and not actually predicting anything specific.
Yet what’s remarkable is how accurate these were. The first bullet point refers to a global terrorist group blowing up an airliner. I’d say the use of multiple airliners to blow things up 9/11 by the global terrorist group Al Qaeda is pretty damned close to that. The second bullet point refers to the shutdown of the federal government due to budget and debt quarrels. Well, we have: